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Happy Wednesday, social pros!

This week, I dive deep into X's strategic gamble with the appointment of viral app creator Nikita Bier as Head of Product—a move that could reshape the platform's future amid declining user numbers and intensifying competition from Threads and Bluesky. And as always, I cover the latest platform updates and feature releases across the social media landscape.

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X's Strategic Gamble: How Nikita Bier Could Reshape the Platform's Future

X's appointment of viral app creator Nikita Bier as Head of Product represents a crucial inflection point for the struggling platform, bringing proven expertise in youth engagement and rapid growth to a company that has lost millions of users and faces intensifying competition from Threads and Bluesky.

The Appointment That Could Change Everything

Nikita Bier's journey to X's product leadership reads like a Silicon Valley fairy tale of persistence paying off. The entrepreneur behind viral hits TBH (acquired by Meta for $30 million) and Gas (acquired by Discord) literally tweeted his way to the top, having pitched himself directly to Elon Musk in April 2022 as a candidate to "run Twitter as VP of Product." Three years later, his "Never give up" philosophy has landed him one of the most challenging product roles in tech.

Bier's track record speaks to exactly what X needs most: the ability to create viral, engaging experiences that capture younger demographics. Both TBH and Gas became cultural phenomena among teenagers, with TBH reaching the #1 spot in the App Store within weeks of launch. His specialty lies in understanding what makes content sticky and shareable—skills that could prove invaluable for a platform struggling with user retention.

The Platform's Current Crisis

The timing of Bier's appointment couldn't be more critical. X is projected to lose 7 million monthly active US users between Musk's 2022 acquisition and the end of 2025, according to Emarketer analysts. In Europe, the exodus is already visible: from October 2024 to March 2025, monthly active users dropped from over 100 million to just under 95 million.

Revenue has taken a similar hit, declining 13.7% year-over-year to $2.5 billion in 2024, primarily due to advertiser flight. User engagement has also weakened, with average likes per post dropping from 37.8 in 2023 to 31.4 in 2024.

Meanwhile, Meta's Threads has grown to 320 million monthly active users with 100 million daily actives, while Bluesky has emerged as another significant alternative, particularly attracting users seeking "real human connection" away from X's increasingly toxic discourse.

Bier's Strategic Vision: AI-Powered Relevance

Bier's stated approach centers on "leveraging the power of Grok to create hyper-relevant timelines" to help users better understand what's happening on the platform. This represents a fundamental shift toward algorithmic curation that mirrors TikTok's success formula—delivering precisely what users want to see when they want to see it.

The integration of Grok, X's AI assistant, into core platform features could differentiate X from competitors who rely primarily on chronological or simpler algorithmic feeds. If executed well, this could address one of X's primary challenges: helping users navigate the overwhelming volume of content to find what's most relevant to their interests.

The Crypto and Payments Wild Card

Bier's background as an advisor to Solana Labs has immediately fueled speculation about crypto integration into X's ecosystem. Following his appointment, Dogecoin saw a 1.82% price jump, reflecting market expectations that his crypto connections could accelerate X's transformation into the "everything app" Musk envisions.

The potential for seamless crypto payments, creator monetization through tokens, and Web3 features could give X a significant competitive advantage over traditional social platforms. However, this also represents a risk—crypto integration could alienate mainstream users who view such features as complex or speculative.

What X Must Do to Stay Relevant

Algorithmic Excellence: Following TikTok's model, X needs its "For You" feed to become genuinely engaging through AI-driven personalization that learns user preferences within "a few swipes." Bier's experience with viral mechanics could be crucial here.

Youth Reengagement: Bier's strength lies in creating features that "drive adoption beyond the user base that's typically drawn to text-first social networks." X desperately needs to recapture younger demographics who have migrated to TikTok, Instagram, and Threads.

Content Moderation Balance: European user flight suggests X must find a middle ground between free speech and content moderation that doesn't alienate international markets while maintaining its identity as a platform for open discourse.

Creator Economy Innovation: With X having paid out over $20 million to creators, expanding monetization options through Bier's understanding of viral content could help retain top talent and attract new creators.

Platform Stability: The decline in Community Notes usage (from 120,000 monthly submissions in January to under 60,000 in May) indicates broader user disengagement with platform features that need revitalization.

The Road Ahead: Challenges and Opportunities

Bier faces the unique challenge of innovating within Musk's vision for X as an "everything app" while addressing immediate user retention issues. His success will depend on whether he can navigate potential conflicts between what algorithmic relevance demands and "what exactly Bier can do within the framework of what Musk wants X to be."

The appointment represents X's boldest product bet since the rebrand. As one industry observer noted, it's "a gamble that reflects X's broader bet: that chaotic creativity is worth more than corporate discipline."

Key Success Metrics to Watch:

  • Daily and monthly active user growth, particularly in the 18-34 demographic

  • Engagement rate improvements and time spent on platform

  • Creator retention and new creator acquisition

  • Revenue diversification beyond advertising

  • International user retention, especially in Europe

To Wrap Things Up…

Bier's appointment comes at a moment when "X is on track for its first year of ad revenue growth since Musk's takeover in 2022," suggesting the platform may have stabilized enough to focus on growth rather than just survival. His expertise in viral mechanics, combined with X's AI capabilities and potential crypto integration, could create a uniquely engaging platform.

However, success is far from guaranteed. Bier must prove he can scale his viral app expertise to a global platform with 600 million users while competing against well-funded rivals. With 79% of X users following at least one brand, the business case for marketing remains strong—but only if Bier can reverse the user decline and rebuild advertiser confidence.

The next 12 months will determine whether X's bet on viral creativity over corporate predictability pays off, or whether the platform will continue its gradual decline in an increasingly competitive social media landscape. For Bier, it's the ultimate test of whether posting your way to the top can translate into leading a platform back to relevance.

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